mid-cap

3 Beaten Down Shares – SKI, WHC and FMG

Sep 06, 2018 | Team Kalkine
3 Beaten Down Shares – SKI, WHC and FMG

Spark Infrastructure Group

Equity Interest fuels numbers: Spark Infrastructure Group (ASX: SKI) reported 1H FY18 revenue at $563.5 mn, an increase of 5.7% from the 1H FY17 revenue of $460.9 mn. Growth of 10.4% was witnessed in the EBITDA at $337.4 mn compared to $305.6 mn in 1H FY17. The major contribution to the earnings of Spark is made by its equity interest in four Australian electricity networks in Victoria, South Wales and South Australia. Unregulated revenue for Victoria Power Networks grew 45.9% to $26.4 mn in 1H FY2018. SA Power Networks also saw higher revenue generation by 2.8% to $398.1 mn in the first half of 2018. TransGrid however posted drop in the revenue by 1.0% to $362.4 mn in 1H FY18.


Financial Performance Snapshot (Source: Company Reports)

Unstable Regulatory environment: The legislation has passed RORG binding law into SA parliament. The uncertainty in the energy regulation space would have negative impact on costs to consumers. The current destabilizing situation is concerning but we hope that there would be more clarity over regulations and policies in the coming months. For FY 2018, the company is confident that despite the regulatory challenges, its aggregated proportional regulated electricity revenues would grow. SKI is on the right track to draw benefits from more demand for network connection, augmentation and interconnection.

Stock Performance: The stock registered a fall of 3.75% as it traded ex-dividend on September 04, 2018, and has posted year to date return of over -7%. There is still good opportunity in the stock and we recommend a ‘BUY’ at the current market price of $2.29.
 

Whitehaven Coal Ltd

Stock Price factors in Ex Dividend trading: Whitehaven Coal Ltd.’s (ASX: WHC) stock dropped 7.61% on the bourses as it traded ex-dividend on September 04, 2018 and further saw a plunge of 1.7% on September 05, 2018. The management has declared the dividend of AUD 0.27 cents per share with ex-date of 4th September 2018 and payment date set for September 13, 2018. The company posted spectacular FY18 results last month with 30% jump in profit in NPAT at $525.6 mn compared to $405.4 mn in FY2017. Balance sheet of the company remained strong with net debt reduced to $270 mn from $311 mn. Increased revenue of the company reflected in the bottom-line items with diluted Earnings per share at 52.2 cents per share in FY18 compared to 40.7 cents per share in FY17. Vinva Investment Management has recently become the substantial stakeholder in the company with voting power surging to 5.01%.

Growth Opportunities: The prospects of some of the biggest economies such as India, Japan and China look bright. Whitehaven is focused on Asian region for growth as the growth in demand is led by the deployment of new coal fired generators.


Annual New Coal Fired Capacity (Source: Company Reports)

Stock Performance: The stock has generated YTD return of 14.54% and has been in the growth trajectory for quite some time now. After a long run-up, the stock might cool down a bit as seen lately. The stock is trading at its crucial support level of $4.6 and any further weakness would be key to watch. We have an ‘EXPENSIVE’ stance on WHC at the current market price of $4.65.
 

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd

Low Iron Ore Prices Cut Profit: Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. (ASX: FMG) has posted net profit after tax of US$1.1 bn and underlying EBITDA of US$3.2 bn in FY18. Revenue declined 18% to US$ 6,887 mn in FY18 compared to US$ 8,447 mn in FY17 as the average iron ore price dropped to US$44/dmt in FY18 from US$53/wmt in FY17. The Board has announced a final fully franked dividend of A$0.12 per share amounting to total full franked dividend for FY18 at A$0.23 per share, a 62% pay-out of full year net profit.


Performance Snapshot (Source: Company Reports)

Stock Performance: The stock has generated negative YTD return of 24.75%. Although it has dropped from the highs of $4.96 and has been in the downtrend from quite some time now, we believe that the stock may correct further from the current level. We have an ‘Expensive’ recommendation on the stock at the current market price of $3.6 (down 2.9% on September 05, 2018).


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