The outlook for commodity market remains bullish and it is expected that the market will be heading towards a supply crunch. Amidst this, it has been observed that demand for nickel has been increasing as clean energy revolution is rapidly increasing. Nickle is one of the major components used in the lithium-ion battery. With the governments of various parts of the world, announcing for use of electric vehicles, the demand for nickel seems to be advancing up. Given the scenario, IGO and WSA are two nickel players that are expected to leverage from the supply demand interplay.
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Stock Details
Independence Group NL (ASX: IGO)
Collaborative working relationship with Orion: Orion Minerals Limited (ASX: ORN) announced that it entered into an agreement with IGO and the latter became the substantial holder of Orion and developed a collaborative working relationship between the two companies. Orion entered into an agreement so that IGO can subscribe for a placement of ordinary shares in Orion at 5.0 cents per share and can raise $5.0 million. The agreement outlined the terms of an agreed collaborative working relationship between the two parties, whereby IGO secured the matching rights to any potential joint venture or sale of Orion’s nickel projects located in the Areachap Belt, South Africa. These relationships will enhance Orion’s planned regional exploration programs. On the basis of regional exploration programs that were already completed, Orion identified the potential for discovery of nickel hosting massive sulphide bodies that were similar to IGO’s Nova Bollinger Mine in the Fraser Range, Western Australia in the Areachap Belt.
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Trend of Nickle Mine Supply by Product (Source: Company Reports)
These preferential rights between these two companies, strengthened the existing relationships between them and lately they entered into a joint venture agreement on the Fraser Range Nickel-Copper Project. This agreement was an add-on to the Company’s current strategy to fast-track its flagship Prieska Zinc-Copper Project and a progress is expected towards its highly prospective regional exploration projects located within the Areachap Belt, South Africa. Moreover, with a robust balance sheet, the Group is solidifying its position to become a world-class base metals producer aligned to the growing electric vehicledemand. The stockwas up by 48.17 per cent in one year and was up by 13.55 per cent in last six months. The stock prices slipped by 9.16 per cent in last one month. We give a “Hold” recommendation at the current market price of $4.85 by looking at the current commodity pricing landscape and the Group’s future potential.
Western Areas Limited (ASX: WSA)
Positive free cashflow generation: Western Area, being the Australia’s highest grade, lowest cash cost nickel producer reported another quarter (March 2018) of free cashflow generation. Cash increased to A$135.7 million, after capital expenditure, feasibility study and exploration costs of A$13.6 million. The cash and receivables were recorded in excess of A$150 million and there was no debt recorded. The Group had substantially invested in Kidman Resources Limited. Meanwhile, Commonwealth Bank of Australia ceased to be a substantial holder of Western Area since 9 May 2018.
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Massive Sulphide Ore Reserve (Source: Company Reports)
Total nickel mined was 6,236 tonnes and was the highest production volume in twelve months and this led to total nickel component in stockpiles to 4,311 tonnes which was the highest level since March 2015. Nickel in concentrate production was 4,827 nickel tonnes and was lower than prior quarters which was due to lower ore feed grade and mill throughput. The Company reviewed its FY18 guidance metrics and expects that nickel in concentrate production will be marginally lower by ~0.5k nickel tonnes to around 21,000 nickel tonnes for the year. The nickel market remains volatile from a pricing standpoint but traded within a consistent range during the time. Moreover, year to date, unit cash cost of production of A$2.57/lb (US$2.00/lb), was within the FY18 guidance range. The stock was up by 9.29 per cent in last six months but fell by 9.3% per cent in last one month. We give a “Hold” recommendation at the current market price of $3.37 based on the overall scenario while the stock trades at a higher price to earnings level.
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