US Markets Round-Up
This week, the Russell 3000 index, an important benchmark of the US stock market across market capitalizations, started on a negative note and continued the momentum. The index made a low of 2148.087 during the week and settled at 2185.440 with a week-to-date (WTD) loss of ~3.00 percent on July 14, 2022. Other major indices such as S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite also witnessed bearish momentum for the week. On July 14, 2022, the S&P 500 index settled at 3790.38 with a WTD loss of ~2.80 percent, and the NASDAQ Composite Index settled at 11251.185 with a WTD loss of ~3.30 percent.
As per the U.S. Department of Labor, the US Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims increased to 244,000 from 235,000 (unrevised level) in the prior week and supported the bearish movement. However, improved Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers limited the losses.
Having understood the US market performance over the week, taking cues from major global news, and based on technical analysis of the Russell 3000 index for the upcoming week, now let us have a look at the one NYSE/ NASDAQ listed stock pick from the technical standpoint. Noted below is the recommendation based on generic insights, entry price, target prices, and stop-loss for Bitfarms Ltd (NASDAQ: BITF) for the next 2-4 weeks duration:
Bitfarms Ltd.
Bitfarms Ltd. is a global Bitcoin self-mining company based in Canada mainly engaged in cryptocurrency mining and operates in North America. Noted below are the key price indicators for the stock:
Price Action Analysis (on the Daily Chart)
BITF’s prices started to move upside after forming a positive divergence with RSI (14-period) at the lower levels and recently broke a downward sloping trend line by an upside, indicating the possibility of further upside movement hereon. Now the next major resistance level for the stock appears at USD 1.40 and prices may test this level in the short-term (2-4 weeks).
Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Daily Chart)
On the daily chart, the leading indicator RSI (14-period) is recovering from lower levels and showing a reading of 38.61. The volumes seem supportive for an upside movement. However, the prices are trading below the trend-following indicator 21-period SMA and 50-period SMA, which may act as the resistance levels for the stock.
General Recommendation
As per the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, Bitfarms Ltd. is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and a ‘Speculative Buy’ recommendation has been given on the stock. Investment decision should be made depending on an individual’s appetite for upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. The summary of recommendation is as follows:
Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.
Upcoming Major Global Economic Events
Market events occur on a day-to-day basis depending on the frequency of the data and generally include an update on employment, inflation, GDP, consumer sentiments, etc. Noted below are the upcoming week's major global economic events that could impact the Russell 3000 Index and stocks’ prices:
Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.
Note 1: Individuals can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price or Stop loss mentioned as per the technical analysis has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above.
Note 2: How to Read the Charts?
The Green colour line reflects the 21-period moving average while the red line indicates the 50- period moving average. SMA helps to identify existing price trend. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.
The Black colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.
The Blue colour bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume as liquidity in stocks helps in easier and faster execution of the order.
The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.
Technical Indicators Defined: -
Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.
Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.
Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
Risk Reward Ratio: Risk reward ratio is the difference between an entry point to a stop loss and profit level. This report is based on ~60% Stop Loss of the Target 1 from the entry point.
A trailing stop-loss is a modification of stop-loss in case of favourable movement in the price to protect the gains. Individuals can Trail the Stop-Loss as per the aforementioned levels if the stock price achieves more than 50% of the Target 1. Individuals should consider exiting from the position as per the Trailing Stop-Loss level if the price starts moving downwards after achieving more than 50% of the Target 1.
The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is July 14, 2022. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Abbreviations
CMP: Current Market Price
SMA: Simple Moving Average
RSI: Relative Strength Index
USD: United States dollar
Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by individuals. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by individuals before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating the stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.
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