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Kalkine Daily 05/02/2015 + MMA Offshore

Feb 06, 2015

In today’s daily we have covered stock research on MMA OFFSHORE (BUY).








 

The S&P 500 was down by 4.06 points or 0.20% to 2045.97. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq eased on Wednesday in the wake of a two-day rally as energy shares followed oil prices lower and Gilead and other biotech names declined. Walt Disney kept the Dow in positive territory. Disney shares jumped 8 percent to $101.64 after quarterly profit topped analysts' expectations. Leading biotechnology shares lower was Gilead Sciences whose stock dropped 7.7 percent to $98.82, a day after the drugmaker said it is offering steeper-than-expected discounts on its hepatitis C drugs to health insurers and other group payers.

Shares of Apple  were up 1.1 percent at $119.95 and its market capitalization topped $700 billion. On the economic front, U.S. labor market data disappointed. The ADP National Employment Report showed private employers added 213,000 jobs in January, short of the 225,000 estimate. Greek assets remained firmly in focus as the country’s new prime minister met eurozone leaders to seek support for its rescue plan.



Gilead Sciences Daily Chart (Source – Thomson Reuters)

S&P ASX 200 was up by 69.9 points or 1.22% on Wednesday and closed at 5777.3 points. Locally, the big four banks led the gains, with Westpac Banking Corp hitting a record high at $36.23, up 2.7 per cent. Commonwealth Bank of Australia gained 0.4 per cent to finish at $90.79, also a new record. Both banks reduced their home loan rates following the RBA decision. Australia and New Zealand Banking Group was 1.5 per cent ahead at $34.62 andNational Australia Bank added 0.8 per cent to $36.50.

Australia's biggest oil producer Woodside Petroleum closed at $35.87, 0.5 per cent ahead, while Origin jumped 3.4 per cent to $12.10. Resources giant BHP Billiton added a hefty 4.4 per cent to close at $31.99 on rising iron ore, oil and copper prices, while its main rival Rio Tinto was $60.7, up 3.7 per cent. Telstra Corp meanwhile shed some of its recent gains, losing 1.1 per cent to close at $6.60.  The Australian dollar is trading at US77.55¢ at 5.29am AEDT, compared with US78.40¢ at Wednesday’s local close. SPI futures are up 17 points to 5743 at 5.29am AEDT.

 


BHP Daily Chart  (Source – Thomson Reuters)

 
Top Performers on the ASX 200 were :-

 


 

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MMA Offshore Video


 

MMA Offshore Limited (BUY)

MMA offshore Limited, formerly Mermaid Marine Australia Limited (MRM), the Australia-based company providing marine logistics and supply base services for the oil and gas sector, is the focus of this report. The recent response of MRM to ASX price and volume query entailed the Company statement of expecting operating profit before tax for the 6 month period ended 31 December 2014 to be approximately $55 million. This has been reported to be in consensus with market expectations. The sales of $597.94 million was reported for the fiscal year ending June of 2014, reflecting an increase of 33.0% as opposed to $449.49 million achieved in FY13. Sales of Vessels witnessed an increase of 57.0% in 2014 from $283.72 million to $445.41 million. However, sales of Slipway dipped 26.2% to $18.37 million and sales in Supply Base also decreased down 13.0% to $130.82 million. Supply Base had the highest operating profits in 2014 with operating profits equaling 28.2% of sales. The market capitalization of the Company is $456.62 million.


Vessels Operations (Source – Company Reports)

During the 12 months ending 30 June 2014, MRM paid dividends totaling $0.13 per share. It is to be noted that the Company has increased its dividend during each of the past 5 fiscal years. MRM reported earnings per share of $0.09 during the fourth quarter of 2014, which has been a drop of 24% versus the fourth quarter of 2013. As of June 2014, MRM’s long term debt was $393.63 million and total liabilities were $627.15 million.

 
Dividends per Share (Source – Company Reports)

It is to be noted that the current approach of capital expenditure reduction by the oil and gas sector may impact MRM’s growth to some extent. However, committed capex should help withstand FY15 earnings at a realistic level in the short term. It is also to be noted that the share price of the Offshore Support Vessels (OSV) operators is closely related to movement in oil prices. We expect that with the gradual oil price strengthening, the stock price will be doing as per the market anticipation. In such scenario, it will be prudent to keep an eye on the 1H FY15 results which may be in concurrence with 2H FY14 given the completion of the Subsea 7 contract and the last stages of construction of Gorgon. Based on developments with regards to Chevron revealing plans to construct Train 4 at Gorgon, there can be a further surge in performance.


Cash at Bank (Source – Company Reports)

Offshore oil and gas activity in Western Australia is predicted to slow-down with completion of the AUD 75 billion of LNG projects in the North West Shelf, Browse Basin, and Timor Sea during the next three years. However, a close watch over contracts with Wheatstone and Ichthys LNG projects is necessary to monitor any sizzle in growth profile. The Europa contract may also provide a source of revenue for 2H FY15. Jaya’s acquisition in June 2014 is expected to transform MMA Offshore’s business in the next two years and will boost growth. Market although expects that operating margins may average 17.5% in near future owing to weakening customer spend but we believe that expansion into Southeast Asia where returns and margins are higher than the Western Australian business will offset such negatives.


Fleet_Key Markets (Source – Company Reports)

The risks to be wary of entail market volatility, loss of contracts, wage negotiations with associated unions, delays to contracts such as Wheatstone and Ichthys, and over-capacity in Southeast Asia reducing JAYA margins.


MRM Daily Chart (Source - Thomson Reuters)

As per the recent update, the Company said that oil price scenario is a concern but a lot of its vessels are being utilised in the construction phase of projects at the moment which are expected to continue. MRM is focused on securing long term production support work, such as the significant INPEX contract which was won in 2014 worth of $500 million. As per the Company, the cyclical effect of the price change will see the light of the day in near future.

Given the above, we put a BUY recommendation for this stock at the current price of $0.875.

 



 


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