Sector Report

June 2025 Labour Force Data Bode Well for Consumer and Financial Sectors

Jul 24, 2025

LFS:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)
BRG:ASX
Investment Type
Mid - Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

Company Overview

Company Overview: Latitude Group Holdings Limited (ASX: LFS) is engaged in the sales finance and consumer lending business. Its segments include Australia and New Zealand Pay (A&NZ Pay), Australia and New Zealand Money (A&NZ Money), and Other. Breville Group Limited (ASX: BRG) is an Australia-based company engaged in designing, developing and marketing small electrical kitchen appliances across the globe. The company operates through two segments: Global Product segment and Distribution segment. Kalkine’s Sector Report covers the Investment Summary, Sector Overview & Supporting Catalysts, Data Insights & Analysis, Financial Metrics, Financial Commentary, Risks, Outlook, Technical Analysis along with the Valuation, Target Price, and Recommendation on selected stocks.

Investment Summary

Sector Overview and Supporting Drivers

Australia’s financial sector is a cornerstone of the national economy, comprising major banks, insurers, superannuation funds, and fintech firms. Dominated by the “Big Four” banks, the sector is characterised by strong regulatory oversight from APRA and ASIC, robust capital buffers, and a high degree of digital adoption. It benefits from compulsory superannuation, a stable legal framework, and population growth. Key trends include increasing digitisation, ESG integration, and competition from fintechs. While rising interest rates have improved bank margins, they also pose credit risks. Overall, the sector remains resilient, playing a critical role in funding economic activity and wealth creation in Australia.

Australia’s consumer sector spans retail, fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), and discretionary services, serving as a key driver of domestic demand. It is supported by population growth, high urbanisation, and a well-developed logistics network. The sector is highly competitive, with major players like Woolworths, Wesfarmers, and Coles dominating essentials, while global entrants intensify pressure in discretionary retail. Key trends include digital transformation, value-conscious spending, and demand for sustainable and locally sourced products. Consumer sentiment is closely tied to interest rates, wage growth, and cost-of-living pressures. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, the sector remains agile, adapting through omnichannel strategies and innovation to maintain relevance.

Sector Catalysts

Index Performance

Investment theme and stocks under discussion (LFS, BRG)

After understanding the sectors, let us now look at two companies from the Financials and Consumer sector listed on the ASX. The price potential of the companies under discussion have been analysed based on Price/Book Value and Price/Earnings based relative valuation methods.

1. ASX: LFS (Latitude Group Holdings Limited)

(Recommendation: ‘Speculative Buy’ at AUD 1.125; Potential Upside: Low Double-Digit; Marke Cap: AUD 1.17bn)

LFS is engaged in the sales finance and consumer lending business. Its segments include Australia and New Zealand Pay (A&NZ Pay), Australia and New Zealand Money (A&NZ Money), and Other.

The stock has witnessed a correction of ~1.3% in last three months, and over the past six months, it has fallen by ~2.17%. The stock has a 52-week low and 52-week high of AUD 1.075 and AUD 1.250, respectively and is currently trading below the 52-week high-low average.  

2. ASX: BRG (Breville Group Limited)

(Recommendation: ‘Hold’ at AUD 31.260; Potential Upside: Low Double-Digit; Market Cap: AUD 4.45bn)

Breville Group Limited is an Australia-based company engaged in designing, developing and marketing small electrical kitchen appliances across the globe. The company operates through two segments: Global Product segment and Distribution segment.

The stock has witnessed a growth of ~13.51% in last three months, and over the past six months, it has declined by ~16.73%. The stock has a 52-week low and 52-week high of AUD 24.330 and AUD 39.000, respectively and is currently trading close to its 52-week high-low average.  BRG was last covered in a report dated ‘12 June 2025’.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing. 

Note 1: Past performance is neither an Indicator nor a guarantee of future performance. 

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 24 July 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV. 

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual’s appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An ‘Exit’ from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above. 

Note 4: Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 25-30 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice. 

Technical Indicators Defined: - 

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock. 

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock. 

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


Disclaimer-

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Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.