Artificial Intelligence and Emerging Technologies Report

How is the Needle Moving on Two TSX -Listed AI Stocks: CGI Inc. and Kinaxis Inc.

17 July 2024

GIBa:TSX
Investment Type
Large-cap
Risk Level
Low
Action
Speculative Buy
Rec. Price (AU$)
146.76
KXS:TSX
Investment Type
Mid - Cap
Risk Level
Medium
Action
Speculative Buy
Rec. Price (AU$)
167.75

** For simplicity purpose, certain recommendations are indicated as Buy in the overview table of the report, and depending on the risk factors may be categorised as Speculative Buy in particular.

CGI Inc.

Section 1: Company Overview

CGI Inc. (TSX: GIB.A) is a Canada-based IT-services provider with an embedded position in North America and Europe. The company generates more than CAD 12 billion in annual revenue, employs over 76,000 personnel, and operates across 400 offices in 40 countries. CGI offers a broad portfolio of services such as consulting, systems integration, application maintenance, and business process services, or BPS. The company's largest vertical market is government, which contributes more than a third of group revenue.

This Report covers the Investment Highlights, Key Financial Metrics, Risks, Technical Analysis along with the Valuation, Target Price, and Recommendation on the stock.

1.1 The Key Positives, Negatives, Investment Highlights, and Risks

 

Section2:  Financial Highlights

2.1 Key Financial Highlights

Section 3:  Key Metrics

Below charts depict the change in EBITDA Margin, Net Margin, Cash Cycle Days and Debt to Equity ratio of the Company for the five reported quarters.

Section 4:  Stock Recommendation Summary

4.1 Valuation Methodology Illustrative EV to Sales Based

4.2 Price Performance and Stock Recommendation

The stock has witnessed an upside of ~5.93% in 1 week and ~7.23% over the last 1 month. Moreover, the stock is trading above the average 52-week high price of CAD 160.40 and 52-week low price of CAD 127.73 providing an opportunity to ride the trend.

4.3 One-Year Technical Price Chart

One-Year Technical Price Chart (as of July 16, 2024). Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: Kalkine Group

 4.4 Technical Summary

Kinaxis Inc

Section 1: Company Overview

Kinaxis Inc (TSX: KXS) is a Canada-based provider of software solutions for sales and operations planning (S&OP) and supply chain management. The firm's flagship RapidResponse product is offered on the cloud. Its capabilities include consequence evaluation and alerting, responsibility-based collaboration, high-speed analytics, and scenario simulation. Kinaxis's S&OP solution capabilities include supply and demand planning, capacity and inventory planning, and inventory management. The firm has operations in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific regions.

This Report covers the Investment Highlights, Key Financial Metrics, Risks, Technical Analysis along with the Valuation, Target Price, and Recommendation on the stock.

1.1 The Key Positives, Negatives, Investment Highlights, and Risks

 

Section2:  Financial Highlights

 2.1 Key Financial Highlights

Section 3:  Key Metrics

Below charts depict the change in Gross Margin, Net Margin, Cash Cycle Days and Debt to Equity Ratio of the Company for the last five reported quarters.

Section 4:  Stock Recommendation Summary

4.1 Valuation Methodology

Valuation Methodology (Illustrative): EV/ Sales based

4.2 Price Performance and Stock Recommendation

The stock has witnessed an upside of ~6.78% in 1 week and ~12.54% over the last 1 month respectively. Moreover, the stock is trading above the average 52-week high price of CAD 191.51 and 52-week low price of CAD 129.13 providing an opportunity to ride the trend.

4.3 One-Year Technical Price Chart

One-Year Technical Price Chart (as of July 16, 2024). Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: Kalkine Group

4.4 Technical Summary

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels as on July 16, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Dividend Yield may vary as per the stock price movement. 

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and the uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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