To get more personalized investment strategies, join us for our next "Fast Money" Live event on Thursday, June 5, at the Nasdaq in Times Square. Over President Donald Trump's first 100 days, the S&P 500 lost more than 7% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 11%. On a sector basis, consumer staples is the biggest gainer in that time period, up 5%. Consumer discretionary lost the most value, off 13%. We asked the "Fast Money" traders to share which market areas should see the most promise — and problems — over the next 100 days. No. 1: Karen Finerman Most promise: Big cap pharma. She's bullish because the group is "way oversold," and it's largely out of the tariff crossfire. Most problems: Container space. It's likely seeing benefits right now from a big pull forward in demand. If the tariff fight takes a while to get resolved, expect to see fewer containers and a reduction in full containers overall, making for a "very sad income statement." No. 2: Tim Seymour Most promise: Semiconductors and international investing. In the case of semis, they're the "ultimate cyclicals" and should be a buying opportunity built off of beaten-down valuations. He predicts supply and demand dynamics will "rage again" in the year's second half. Seymour is also bullish on international investing. His name for it: MIGA, an acronym for "Make International Great Again." He highlights Germany's DAX index outperforming the S&P 500 since late November. According to Seymour, it's a trade that should still work over at least the next 100 days because tariffs are both a wake-up call and tailwind. He lists relative valuation attractiveness and "Magnificent Seven" exhaustion among other key upside drivers. The Mag 7 index, which is comprised of Apple, Nvidia, Meta Platforms, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Tesla, is down almost 16% over President Trump's first 100 days. Most problems: Companies exposed to consumer credit and discretionary spending. Seymour expects U.S. consumers to tighten their belts due to high prices and a deteriorating jobs market. No. 3: Dan Nathan Most promise: "Cash will be king." Nathan sees little working. He notes defensive groups including utilities, consumer staples and U.S. Treasurys, which historically benefit during economic distress, will eventually slump. According to Nathan, the headwinds produced by a tariff-induced recession will punish them. Most problems: Planes, trains and automobiles. His base case scenario is a "protracted trade war" with China and possibly other key nations that will choke demand. Nathan advises consumers to "fasten their seatbelts for unexpected turbulence and bumps in the road. No. 4: Guy Adami Most promise: Retail. Most problems: Retail. He thinks retail is in an odd spot. According to Adami, there's "no way to game this out, but they seemingly have the most at stake." He told "Fast Money" on Tuesday that the unemployment rate will likely surprise to the upside. "When you have an economy that's predicated on people having jobs and feeling good about things... that becomes problematic," Adami told viewers. "I think the market is still a little expensive here." Disclosure: Tim Seymour runs the Amplify CWP International Enhanced Dividend Income ETF. Disclaimer
Where the 'Fast Money' traders see the most promise — and problems — over President Trump's next 100 days
You are reading a free article with opinions that may differ from the recommendation given by Kalkine in its paid research reports. Become a Kalkine member today to get access to our research reports, in-depth technical and fundamental research.
Start Your Free Trial Now!Not sure where to invest today?
Kalkine’s latest research highlights three companies identified through in-depth analysis and market insights.
Explore these research reports to learn about companies currently being tracked by our analysts and make more informed investment decisions.
View 3 Research ReportsThis information, including any data, is sourced from Unicorn Data Services SAS, trading as EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”) on ‘as is’ basis, using their API. The information and data provided on this page, as well as via the API, are not guaranteed to be real-time or accurate. In some cases, the data may include analyst ratings or recommendations sourced through the EODHD API, which are intended solely for general informational purposes.
This information does not consider your personal objectives, financial situation, or needs. Kalkine does not assume any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this information, data, or any analyst rating or recommendation provided. Kalkine will not accept any liability for any loss or damage resulting from reliance on the information, including but not limited to data, quotes, charts, analyst ratings, recommendations, and buy/sell signals sourced via the API.
Please be fully informed about the risks and costs associated with trading in the financial markets, as it is one of the riskiest forms of investment. Kalkine does not provide any warranties regarding the information on this page, including, without limitation, warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use.
Please wait processing your request...