IDP Education (ASX:IEL) Stock Rises 1.3% After Sharp Drop; FY25 Earnings Forecast Below Estimates

Wed 04 Jun 25, 02:05 AM |

Highlights

IDP Education (ASX: IEL) shares rose 1.3% to AUD3.93 on Wednesday, recovering slightly after a steep 48% plunge on Tuesday. This modest rebound followed five consecutive sessions of declines for the education services provider. The rise mirrored gains in the broader ASX200 index (.AXJO), which advanced 0.6%.

On Tuesday, IDP Education issued its forecast for fiscal year 2025 adjusted operating earnings, projecting a range of AUD115 million to AUD125 million (approximately AUD74.28 million to AUD80.74 million USD). This guidance fell short of the consensus estimate of AUD166.3 million, as noted by analysts from E&P Capital.

Morningstar responded to the earnings forecast by reducing IDP’s fair value estimate by 23%, lowering it to AUD17 per share. The research firm attributed the revision to market concerns around weak near-term student volumes. However, Morningstar also pointed to structural trends such as aging populations in key markets and increased demand from emerging economies as potential factors supporting the company’s long-term outlook.

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