Blue-Chip

Is growth intact for these 4 Interesting plays – ALL, KMD, CKF, DMP?

September 24, 2018 | Team Kalkine
Is growth intact for these 4 Interesting plays – ALL, KMD, CKF, DMP?


 

Aristocrat Leisure


Aristocrat Licenses allow hitting TV Show "Billions": Aristocrat Leisure Ltd (ASX: ALL) for FY 18 to 30 September 2018, had expected to continue with double-digit NPATA growth. On the other hand, as per the licensing agreement between Aristocrat, CBS Consumer Products, and Showtime Networks, the hit SHOWTIME TV show Billions will soon be available in the casinos. Further, ALL’s new Billions Slot Game will be premiered at the upcoming Global Gaming Expo (G2E) in Las Vegas. Meanwhile, the company is still expected to grow their earnings by a CAGR of 24% over the next three years, and ALL stock has fallen 7.26% in three months as on September 20, 2018. However, the stock is trading at a high P/E and technical indications reflect a potential buying opportunity post some correction. The stock is trading at the price of level $28.28, and has resistance at $33 and support at $27.8. As of now, we give an “Expensive” recommendation on the stock at the current price of $28.28.
 

Kathmandu Holdings


Enhancing the international growth through acquisition of Ob?z: Kathmandu Holdings Ltd (ASX: KMD) in FY 18, KMD had acquired Ob?z, which is a premium US based outdoor footwear brand. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance the international growth and transform the company from an Australian retailer to a global outdoor apparel and equipment brand. Meanwhile, the company for FY 18 delivered robust performance with 32.9% rise in NPAT to record NZ$50.5m. This is on the back of 30.9% increase in EBIT to NZ$74.6m and 11.7% growth in Sales to NZ$497.4m. The company reported 9.6% growth in sales in Australia, which is the company’s largest market. The company is upgrading the online platform in the second half of FY18, which is due to be completed in November. KMD has enhanced its gross margin by 1.4% points to 63.4% in FY 18, which is above the long-term target range of 61% to 63%. Moreover, in 2018 KMD has generated record operating cash flow of NZ$75.6m, and had invested NZ$16.7m in capital projects, mainly for the expansion and updating  the store network. As a result, KMD stock has risen 28.70% in three months as on September 20, 2018  and is also trading at a reasonable P/E of 13.48x. The stock is trading at the price of level $2.96, has resistance at $3.03 and support at $2.53. Based on the foregoing, we give a “Hold” recommendation on the stock at the current price of $2.96.

FY 18 Financial Performance (Source: Company Reports)
 

Collins Foods


Strategic Steps & Strong FY 18 Performance: Collins Foods Ltd.’s (ASX: CKF) stock has risen 4.50% in three months as on September 20, 2018 after the company expanded into attractive growth markets with the completion of acquisition of KFC in Australia and Europe in FY 18. Meanwhile, CKF for FY 18 has reported 21.7% growth in the Group revenue to $770.9 million and 16.4% growth in underlying EBITDA to $94.5 million. This is on the back of vigilant cost control and a continuous focus on the improvement of the operational efficiency. During FY 18, CKF undertook the strategic decision to launch the Taco Bell brand in Australia, to provide further growth channel. The company exited the Snag Stand business after a strategic review in FY 18. Based on the foregoing, we give a “Buy” recommendation on the stock at the current price of $ 5.950, up 2.6% on September 21, 2018.
 

Domino's Pizza Enterprises


Responds to FWO investigation: Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd. (ASX: DMP) has fallen 4.84% in three months as on September 20, 2018 after the company has been noted to address issues related with approximately $2000 of underpayment of wages for 20 team members across 19 stores. One franchisee with two stores was found responsible for over $1,500 of the underpayment. This is on an 18-month investigation by the Fair Work Ombudsman (FWO) into 33 of its stores across Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide. Further, it was found that only four Domino's Pizza stores "fully complied" with workplace laws. Therefore, the company had to make correct payments to almost 97% of employees during the audit period. In DMP’s corporate stores, the FWO found issues in three of the five stores investigated, which were related to paperwork for sick leave and inaccurate time records. Meanwhile, DMP for FY 18 has missed the estimates for annual underlying profit on the back of weaker same-store sales in Europe, Australia and New Zealand. For FY 18, the company has reported underlying net profit after tax of A$133.2 million ($96.84 million), which is below market estimates of A$136.6 million. The company has also missed company forecasts of a 20 percent rise. For the full year 2018, the same-store sales growth in Australia and New Zealand fell to 4.5 percent, which is below the firm’s recently lowered guidance of 7-9 percent growth. Additionally, for FY 19, DMP expects same-store sales growth for the group to be in the range of 3% and 6% and this expected to remain between the same range for the next three to five years. 2019 capital expenditure is expected to be between A$60 million to A$70 million and DMP expects to build between 225 and 250 stores for the FY 19. In addition, during the first 5 weeks of FY 19, Group same store sales were +4.4%. On the other hand, DMP stock is trading at a high P/E of 36.23x. The stock is trading at the price of level $50.66, has resistance at $57.8 and support at $48.9. Based on the foregoing, we give an “Expensive” recommendation on the stock at the current price of $ 50.66.
 
 


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