Mid-Cap

Henderson Group plc : Looks Expensive

August 13, 2015 | Team Kalkine
Henderson Group plc : Looks Expensive

HGG’s stock has seen a surge on the back of robust first half results and some optimism in the market with headwinds such as China and Greece factors settling down. Further, the stock is trading in vicinity of its 52-week high, making it a bit expensive to own at this time despite solid fundamentals. Year to date the stock is up over 46% while in the last twelve months the shares are up almost 32%.

HGG is a holding company of the UK investment management group Henderson Global Investors. HGG offers diversified investment advice on asset classes such as equities, fixed income, property and alternative investments.

HGG offers a good mix of both income and growth. The performance of the stock is closely tied to the performance of the broader index as investors invest more during the settled periods and when overall macro outlook is positive. With Greek debt crisis moving towards conclusion, Henderson is already guiding towards attractive growth for atleast a couple years. For instance, HGG is expected to improve its earnings by 6% in the current year and 16% in the next year. The expected numbers are impressive by any count, giving HGG a PEG number of 0.9, suggesting better capital gain going ahead.


(Source: Company Report)

HGG posted stellar results for the six months ending June with an increase of 29% in pre-tax profit totaling to £117.4 million. The company also raised its Interim dividend by 19% to 3.1p. The result is even better after converting it to the Australian dollars as the currency is in down trend against the British currency. Cash levels for the company is strong than what the investors were expecting after the fund manager made several acquisitions including two Perennial funds and increasing stake from 41% to 100% in the 90 West Asset Management Pty Ltd. 90 West is an Australian-based resources fund manager, and its acquisition will help HGG to take benefit of the new business the firms have developed together in Australia and other regions.


(Source: Company Report)

The acquisition of two Perennial funds will push HGG’s assets under management (AUM) in Pan-Asia to £9.6 billion ($19.2 billion) from £4.0 billion. The acquisition will give HGG a “recognized domestic investment management capabilities” and will push the company into “Top 30 of Australian asset managers,” said Andrew Formica, chief executive of Henderson. The Perennial deals are expected to be concluded by the fourth-quarter this year.

Asset under management (AUM) for the company increased by around 10% to £82.1 billion versus £74.7 billion as on 30 June 2014. Further, net flows for the period came in at £5.6 billion. The company announced underlying diluted EPS of 8.9p. Total expenses for HGG was up 14% to £194.4 million including the wage bill, which was up 11% to £47.6 million primarily due to the recent acquisitions. At the end of June, HGG posted a surplus capital of £113 million versus £44 million at the end of December last year. In addition, the net fee income was up £296.1 million for the first half.

Owing to its strong solid business performance and improved capital position, the Board also announced a share buyback program of £25.0 million, which will be implemented during the second half.


(Source: Thomson Reuters)

HGG’s strong half yearly result has boosted investor’s confidence to accumulate the stock, and send share price higher. But it appears that all the current positive news and expectations of a robust growth has already been factored in the stock, hinting investors to be patient and wait for the stock to pull down. Though the stock is backed by strong fundamentals, but at present stock price HGG appears to be have a premium price tag.  

On the basis of above factors, we recommend HGG as EXPENSIVE at current price of $5.87.

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