Mid-Cap

One stock to sell – Retail Food Group

September 04, 2016 | Team Kalkine
One stock to sell – Retail Food Group


 

RFG Details
 
Acquisition of Hudson Pacific Corporation:Retail Food Group Limited (ASX: RFG) has entered into a Share Purchase Agreement (SPA) to acquire the business and operations of Hudson Pacific Corporation at $88 million which will lead to the third party full service food and beverage operations. RFG had already acquired Cafe2U, Di Bella Coffee and Gloria Jean’s Coffees Groups during FY16. Moreover, the SPA is subject to confirmatory due diligence investigations, along with other usual and ordinary conditions. The acquisition is expected to be completed in late September 2016. The FY17 EBITDA contribution (assuming late September 2016 settlement) is expected to be c. $11m.
 
Strong FY 16 Financial Performance:RFG reported a 20.5% increase in the underlying NPAT to $66.4m in FY 16 over the previous corresponding period. The revenues have grown 30.5% to $274.6m and the earnings per share grew 69% to 37.4 cents per share. Moreover, RFG has added 84 new outlets (new total 2,530) in 11 new territories for a total of 69 territories. RFG has reported a 24% increase in EBITDA to $110.2m and more than 50% of Group EBITDA derived from International and Coffee & Allied Beverage operations. Moreover, RFG is expecting to achieve FY17 underlying NPAT growth of c.20%, inclusive of a c.8% contribution from Hudson Pacific.
 

FY16 Financial Performance (Source: Company Reports)
 
Rising Debt concerns:RFG’s gross debt is $209.2 m as on 30th June 2016 which includes non-current borrowings of 2.5-4.5 years’ maturity and $50 m of non-current borrowings at the fixed interest rate to September 2017.
 
         
Debt Structure (Source: Company Reports)
 
Moreover, RFG stock rose 52.7% in the last six months (as of September 01, 2016). The acquisition driven activity remains a central feature of RFG’s strategic growth platform and consequently the group is facing rising debt as well as interest expense, which could be a challenging factor for the coming period. Further, there are speculations about the group’s Hudson acquisition’s synergies. We recommend investors to book their profits as we give a “Sell” recommendation on the stock at the current price of $6.83
 

RFG Daily Chart (Source: Thomson Reuters)



Disclaimer
The advice given by Kalkine Pty Ltd and provided on this website is general information only and it does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or needs. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your investment objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it. You should seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice. Not all investments are appropriate for all people. Kalkine.com.au and associated pages are published by Kalkine Pty Ltd ABN 34 154 808 312 (Australian Financial Services License Number 425376).The information on this website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which Kalkine Pty Ltd, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. You should make your own enquiries about any investments and we strongly suggest you seek advice before acting upon any recommendation. Kalkine Pty Ltd has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its newsletters and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. To the extent permitted by law, Kalkine Pty Ltd excludes all liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this website and any information published (including any indirect or consequential loss, any data loss or data corruption). If the law prohibits this exclusion, Kalkine Pty Ltd hereby limits its liability, to the extent permitted by law to the resupply of services. There may be a product disclosure statement or other offer document for the securities and financial products we write about in Kalkine Reports. You should obtain a copy of the product disclosure statement or offer document before making any decision about whether to acquire the security or product. The link to our Terms & Conditions has been provided please go through them and also have a read of the Financial Services Guide. On the date of publishing this report (mentioned on the website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine Pty Ltd currently hold positions in:  BHP, BKY, KCN, PDN, and RIO. These stocks can change any time and readers of the reports should not consider these stocks as advice or recommendations.